forecast

Predicting and Managing Supply Chain Risks

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Paper

Predicting and Managing Supply Chain Risks
Year: 
2006

I often recommend Supply Chain Risk: A Handbook of Assessment, Management, and Performance as a good overview of supply chain risk management literature.

Effective Demand Forecasting and Improvements Strategies for Supply Chain Planning

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Paper

Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: an empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning
Year: 
2009

The article reviewed here takes a look at typical biases in supply chain demand planning and how to avoid it. This work could prove very valuable for many companies who rely on manually adjusted forecasts.
Usually the forecasting process uses two steps:
1) statistical forecast by the forecasting system
2) manual adjustment to include additional effects (eg. additional analysis of demand pattern not included in step 1)

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